About this Toolkit

The policy toolkit translates ENSURED's evidence base into an accessible and actionable format to help European Union (EU) policymakers make better strategic decisions on defending and transforming global governance. Explore our findings, dive into a policy area, and discover what our cross-cutting research reveals.

Policy Areas

Why does it matter?

  • Digital spaces are increasingly cross-border and contested, with Artificial Intelligence (AI), cryptocurrencies, and cyberspace becoming arenas of geopolitical competition, making multilateral approaches more difficult.
  • For the EU, effective governance of digital spaces is essential. Without agreement on shared frameworks, the risk of illegal activities, erosion of monetary sovereignty, environmental harm, and the misuse of AI is likely to increase.

Where is reform possible?

    Major structural reform is unlikely due to geopolitical competition and diverging regulatory approaches. Incremental improvements to existing frameworks is the most realistic path.
  • For AI, the Council of Europe’s AI Convention could serve as an entry point for countries lacking regulation and, if widely adopted, could shape global standards.
  • Cyberspace governance will remain largely non-binding, with forums like the OEWG and IGF supporting progress. Targeted transparency measures could improve the legitimacy of financial governance.

What can the EU do about it?

  • Actively recruit states outside of the Council of Europe — particularly in the Plural South — to sign the Framework Convention on AI.
  • Push for unified EU representation in international standard-setting bodies for cryptocurrencies and advocate for greater transparency.
  • Ensure the new UN Global Cybersecurity Mechanism's Dedicated Thematic Groups translate agreed norms into concrete policy actions, and build new coalitions.

Why does it matter?

  • Global human rights and migration governance are increasingly contested, as rising authoritarianism challenges established norms, restricts civil society, and weakens funding across frameworks.
  • For the EU, a weakened UN human-rights regime threatens core EU values. Poor governance risks egregious violations, internal political tensions, and strained partnerships.

Where is reform possible?

  • Geopolitical tensions limit prospects for reform. Global migration frameworks will remain forums for discussion, with states prioritising minilateral and bilateral cooperation. UN human-rights mechanisms face pushback but hold the line on existing standards.
  • Progress will depend on stronger implementation, reduced administrative burdens, protected civil-society participation, reformed complaint procedures, stronger membership criteria, and adequate funding for UN human-rights institutions.

What can the EU do about it?

  • Advocate for a voluntary peer review mechanism at the 2026 International Migration Review Forum.
  • Coordinate EU and member-state contributions to UNHCR and IOM, targeting operations in North Africa, the Horn of Africa, and the Western Balkans.
  • Shift development cooperation conditionality from migration-control numbers to refugee-protection standards, and operationalise this through Neighbourhood, Development and International Cooperation Instrument programming.

Why does it matter?

  • Global health governance is fragmented, inefficient, and incoherent. Too many actors, overlapping rules, limited financing and disputes over fair access undermine the World Health Organization’s (WHO) coordinating role.
  • For the EU, weak global health governance raises the risk that future crises will disrupt European societies and limits its ability to respond swiftly to protect its population.

Where is reform possible?

  • Major reform is unlikely. Instead, the most realistic options are incremental improvements to existing frameworks.
  • Key priorities are to strengthen the WHO through more predictable financing and clearer responsibilities, and to ensure the Pandemic Agreement is finalised, ratified, and backed by sustained political will.
  • Further gains could include improving transparency and inclusiveness within the WHO, and better connecting EU policies around health, trade, and intellectual property.

What can the EU do about it?

  • Link epidemic control to national security and supply-chain resilience to build domestic support for EU-level health commitments.
  • Use the next Multiannual Financial Framework (2028-2034) to pool resources and build coalitions.
  • Shift WHO contributions from earmarked, project-based funding to long-term core funding, and link compliance with the Pandemic Agreement and International Health Regulations.

Why does it matter?

  • Global trade and tax systems struggle to adapt to rising geopolitical tensions.  Disagreements among major powers hinder World Trade Organization (WTO) reform and weaken core functions.
  • For the EU, this translates directly into higher tariffs, legal uncertainty, and fewer protections against unfair practices for European exporters.
  • Gaps in global tax governance also allow multinational companies to shift profits across borders, reducing national tax revenues.

Where is reform possible?

  • Geopolitical divides make major structural reform unlikely. The most realistic way forward is to make incremental improvements within existing frameworks.
  • On tax, progress depends on whether the parallel OECD/G20 and UN initiatives can come together in a way that is both effective and inclusive.
  • On trade, reform will likely advance through informal and non-binding approaches — information sharing, best practices, or voluntary guidelines — particularly where WTO members can see clear benefits.

What can the EU do about it?

  • Acknowledge the trade-offs between strategic autonomy and WTO rules, and prioritise coalition-building within and outside the WTO.
  • Expand the Multi-Party Interim Appeal Arbitration Arrangement (MPIA) and improve developing countries' access to WTO dispute settlement.
  • Engage constructively with the UN-led tax process and address Plural South concerns about representation and fairness.

Why does it matter?

  • Landmark agreements like the Paris Agreement and the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (KMGBF) were designed to address the planetary crisis, but ambition is outpacing real-world action.
  • The problem: limited funding, lack of political will, and continued disagreements among countries hinder progress.
  • For the EU, the consequences are real. Missing climate targets will intensify extreme weather events and threaten both food security and public health. Plus, biodiversity loss erodes natural resilience, leaving the EU vulnerable to climate impacts and raising long-term costs.

Where is reform possible?

  • Reforms can target negotiation spaces (within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD)) and/or implementation.
  • Within negotiations, consensus-based decision-making, widespread distrust, and limited political will make smaller procedural changes more realistic than substantial reform — which require stronger trust, expanded capacity-building, and streamlined agendas.
  • On implementation, progress hinges on party commitment: translating ambitious pledges into domestic action and deploying effective financial instruments.

What can the EU do about it?

  • Prioritise domestic political alignment and timely Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) submissions ahead of Conference of the Parties (COP) deadlines.
  • Reduce bargaining inequalities at COP negotiations by increasing the UNFCCC Trust Fund, expanding virtual participation, and improving access to informal settings.
  • Create domestic enabling frameworks for private biodiversity finance, coordinate member states’ climate-finance contributions strategically, and send Commissioners and Heads of Government to CBD COPs.

Discover all findings on Digitalisation Migration & Human Rights Health & Pandemics Trade & Inequality Climate & Sustainability

Expert Survey

How do experts on international organisations (IOs) view today’s major IOs in terms of their effectiveness, robustness, and democratic quality? The ENSURED Expert Survey offers a global assessment of their perspectives on 110 IOs.

Findings

  • Most IOs face trade-offs between effectiveness, robustness, and democratic legitimacy — rarely can they deliver all three at once.
  • Growing policy complexity, resource crises, and political gridlock strain nearly all organisations, with member-state withdrawal more likely in specialised, rather than general-purpose, institutions.
  • Informal and regional formats are likely to rise as flexible alternatives rather than competing institutions, with security and trade more likely to shift towards alternative arrangements than climate and health.
  • Overall, strong member-state compliance is expected to boost IO robustness, while the importance of other institutional features varies based on specific organisational challenges.
-> Download the full expert survey
Note: Most IOs cannot simultaneously deliver fully on effectiveness, robustness and democracy. Source: Expert Survey
Note: Experts have relatively low expectations of the increased importance of competing institutions. The survey question reads: How likely do you think [name of IO] is to encounter each of the following challenges by 2030? Response options: 0 (almost) impossible to 5 (almost) certain. Source: Expert Survey

EU Strategic Narratives

Global governance is increasingly a contest over narratives, not just rules and resources — so what story does the EU tell? Drawing on 15 case studies, this report analyses EU strategic narratives across key policy areas.

Findings

  • The EU’s consistent identity is an asset, but masks growing fragmentation across the narrative levels.
  • EU policy narratives are pulling progressively further from its system and identity narratives.
  • The EU adapts its communications to specific contexts, but lacks a meta-narrative to explain it.
  • The perceived say-do gap threatens EU narrative credibility, and cannot be solved by communications alone.
-> Read the full report on EU strategic narratives

Data & Resources

Explore the reports behind ENSURED’s findings.
Learn more